Interesting Winter Energy Supply Forecast

Any news worthy story. Good things to watch at the Cinema, Theatre, on TV or have you read a good book lately?
User avatar
nowty
Posts: 5916
Joined: Mon May 31, 2021 2:36 pm
Location: South Coast

Interesting Winter Energy Supply Forecast

#1

Post by nowty »

Nowty Towers will be keeping its batteries topped up on the high side this winter. :?

https://www.enappsys.com/winter-of-disc ... jGYxIV1ESc

Conclusions
This winter will see some extreme pricing events related to French nuclear power problems, the war in Ukraine and the reliance in GB on interconnectors to provide power in a capacity crunch. The winter will require co-operation between gas and electricity system operators across interconnectors to keep costs low for consumers and the system secure.

Whilst GB is physically an island its extensive interconnection to the continent and reliance on electricity imports in a capacity crunch mean that any issues with gas supply on the continent will affect the energy market in GB. Government and regulators need to recognise this.

This winter will be a perfect storm showing the effects of reliance on a single technology type for electricity in France, a reliance on Russian gas as a primary energy source in Europe and a reliance on interconnection in the GB electricity market as a replacement for generation capacity.
18.7kW PV > 109MWh generated
Ripple 6.6kW Wind + 4.5kW PV > 27MWh generated
6 Other RE Coop's
105kWh EV storage
60kWh Home battery storage
40kWh Thermal storage
GSHP + A2A HP's
Rain water use > 520 m3
User avatar
Stinsy
Posts: 2989
Joined: Wed Jun 02, 2021 1:09 pm

Re: Interesting Winter Energy Supply Forecast

#2

Post by Stinsy »

Let’s hope we have a windy winter!
12x 340W JA Solar panels (4.08kWp)
3x 380W JA Solar panels (1.14kWp)
5x 2.4kWh Pylontech batteries (12kWh)
LuxPower inverter/charger

(Artist formally known as ******, well it should be obvious enough to those for whom such things are important.)
Adokforme
Posts: 625
Joined: Sun Sep 19, 2021 10:09 pm

Re: Interesting Winter Energy Supply Forecast

#3

Post by Adokforme »

Stinsy wrote: Mon Aug 01, 2022 6:05 am Let’s hope we have a windy winter!
And a lot of rain to drive Hydro!
AE-NMidlands
Posts: 2079
Joined: Wed Jun 02, 2021 6:10 pm

Re: Interesting Winter Energy Supply Forecast

#4

Post by AE-NMidlands »

The winter will require co-operation between gas and electricity system operators across interconnectors to keep costs low for consumers and the system secure.
I think they mean as low as can be managed or no higher than necessary in the circumstances!
A
2.0 kW/4.62 MWh pa in Ripples, 4.5 kWp W-facing pv, 9.5 kWh batt
30 solar thermal tubes, 2MWh pa in Stockport, plus Congleton and Kinlochbervie Hydros,
Most travel by bike, walking or bus/train. Veg, fruit - and Bees!
User avatar
Joeboy
Posts: 8272
Joined: Mon May 31, 2021 4:22 pm
Location: Inverurie

Re: Interesting Winter Energy Supply Forecast

#5

Post by Joeboy »

Isn't this the time for standard tarrifs as run by millions to have a tou cheap window to spread the load? Why else did all those smart meters get fitted?
15kW PV SE, VI, HM, EN
42kWh LFPO4 storage
7kW ASHP
200ltr HWT.
73kWh HI5
Deep insulation, air leak ct'd home
WBSx2
Low energy bulbs
Veg patches & fruit trees
Ken
Posts: 524
Joined: Mon Jul 26, 2021 10:07 am

Re: Interesting Winter Energy Supply Forecast

#6

Post by Ken »

Joeboy wrote: Mon Aug 01, 2022 9:27 am Isn't this the time for standard tarrifs as run by millions to have a tou cheap window to spread the load? Why else did all those smart meters get fitted?
Yes now is the moment.
Ken
Posts: 524
Joined: Mon Jul 26, 2021 10:07 am

Re: Interesting Winter Energy Supply Forecast

#7

Post by Ken »

That report uses this statement more than once "a reliance on interconnection in the GB electricity market as a replacement for generation capacity"

My understanding is that we are not reliant on the interconnectors but have historically used them for pricing reasons. The EU has traditionally had a cheaper wholesle price due to cheap Russian gas powering Germany and nuclear powering France largely setting the price. The interconnectors are/were a nicety not a necessity.

If the UK is heading for trouble with its very well diversified capacity then god help the EU which is not as well.

If we were an island we would allow our prices to be contained by UK supply not influeced by EU prices exporting their problems to us. Germany and France created their problems not the British bill payers. In fact UK bill payers might be better off if we disconnected the interconnectors.
Mr Gus
Posts: 3813
Joined: Sun Jun 13, 2021 9:42 pm
Location: Tofu eaters paradise (harrumph)

Re: Interesting Winter Energy Supply Forecast

#8

Post by Mr Gus »

Chase some logs down for your possibly "rocky road" winter as old school energy storage.

Then wait for the next seasonal round of guardian reportage on WBS.

Not joking: ➡ I wonder how many people attempting to burn off off & laminate chipboard type woods on open fires fire brigade call outs we will encounter this winter, new record highs I anticipate.
1906 ripplewatts @wind Turb-ine-erry
It's the wifes Tesla 3 (she lets me wash it)
Leaf 24
Celotex type insulation stuffed most places
Skip diver to the gentry
Austroflamm WBS
A finger of solar + shed full more
MoSTiE
Posts: 71
Joined: Thu Sep 30, 2021 5:08 pm

Re: Interesting Winter Energy Supply Forecast

#9

Post by MoSTiE »

I'm going to fill the garage with coal .... just in case. :twisted:
Countrypaul
Posts: 580
Joined: Sun Jul 18, 2021 11:50 am

Re: Interesting Winter Energy Supply Forecast

#10

Post by Countrypaul »

MoSTiE wrote: Mon Aug 01, 2022 6:09 pm I'm going to fill the garage with coal .... just in case. :twisted:
Then when you don't use it and there is no market for it to sell into.... :D
Post Reply