Extreme Gridwatch Events Winter 2022/23

[dan_b]

National Grid just issued a capacity warning for 6pm this evening - forecasting below 0.5GW of margin available.

[Moxi]

Are we set for a big fat fail at the first, albeit marginal weather, stress test ?

I wonder what the general public will panic buy this time instead of bog roll ?

Mr Gus, get your candles ready,

Nowty - err well err carry on as you would normally

I just got some more logs in and brought out the chess board

Moxi

[Swwils]

Isn't that margin abit wide? Do these notices happen too early?

[dan_b]

National Grid runs a pretty big capacity margin for very good reasons!

[dan_b]

This shows the issue. We're burning pretty much everything (gas still has margin), importing on all HVDCs and the solar will go soon.

[nowty]

National grid has decided not to run a down event tomorrow, I wonder if that's because it could clash with the England game and cause too many household arguments.
https://news.sky.com/story/power-blacko ... g-12757278

[chris_n]

Maybe they realised a lot of factories will stop producing anyway.
Wind under 1GW now!

[dan_b]

1kW? Wow that is low!

[nowty]

And nearly a third of that is currently Ripple WT1.

[Mr Gus]

Nicely contextual snapshot there dan
Lads, I popped over to my ok neighbour they have a toddler ween, & were totally unaware of any grid problems, ..another neighbour has xmas lights blazing (for 5 days? ..whilst xmas lights are all low draw, its this or big problems, & the public is generally not ready to listen, but it will panic & listen less.

Suggest those with immediate & ok neighbours esp the old & toddlers get the heads up.. 6pm draws nearer.

Fire ready, candles ready headtorches etc.. sandwiches likely, flask boiled.

All's well (except with that tesla & their inept uk phone staff)

Tried to let kid (in a class) know to prime her flatmates, ..who thought they smelt gas, evacuated the flats lae on a recent friday night, called the fire brigade only to find its all electric...

"blind panic" + stupidity