Not going to happen for a long time billi, 2015 migrant stream breaking down fences & demanding entry marked a massive change point in European psyche in so many ways.
The Eu's actions on Poland's border gathering is waiting to be seen, & either way will end badly within an already fractured society under financial stress because it will cause anger every which way.locally & internationally.
& Ukraine Russia / Poland troop build up, posturing or not, it makes countries stick together (often in inaction but as a perceived tour de force),
Incidentally, whilst reviewing a slated film on Amazon I pointed out how many incursions Russia has made across the globe in recent history (1917- 2015 =56) there are a few countries in / around Europe they are getting more vocal 're leavingI don't think voting is what The European wants to "allow" for the foreseeable lest it highlight more fractures & loss perceived or real.
The kids will vote to have back what they've always had access to its all they ever knew,, the older folk have seen European coupling happen several times over, from common market entry onward, leaving a real see-saw dilemma (with Facebook as a cold sore virus of bile.& misinformation amping up discontent till it spills off the page.
Sorry, we are therefore doomed to suffer a good while yet, unless there is an @rsekicking to London parliament because govt will retain that Eton boy (type) sense of ownership unless it loses a bit chunk of the map overnight, cannot & will not happen, loss of map, face & much more in reality to the self proclaimed "world players" & grouse moor owners.
You know how that Scotland thingy went down last time.
A few months ago when it was found out (UK army got cagey) that a "small" group of British soldiers had gone to "view" the area!? ..then it mind of disappeared, resurfaced & was disclosed they were "logistics", & finally "helping" with fencing, no idea if more were sent over or not as it was info UK forces wished to keep quiet, whether to form our own form of assistive disruption to polish rumblings of their own eu exit because some illegal migrants would be trying to get to the uk (thus monitoring faces in crowds)I cannot tell.
I bet Poland are swallowing hard now that their border is being probed via Russian partnership.
I don't think Putin really cares about Gazprom current denied access to Germany, their are plenty of other politicians to crack so lots of opportunity & leverage to come, so that ups renewables & Chinese deals for solar supply (mainly) ..panel flooding? blind eye? tariffs?
Bearing in mind all the HS2 type work that will be required of Europe to make a new rail service (& what's been lost to hs2 in terms of other industries materials) ..more hardship or the wholesale depletion of European forests for all that required lumber, metal, etc for such a mega project that requires unfettered access through various countries, ..& to that effect lucky that the UK is out of that due to ineptitude & lies re HS2. ..not forgetting we recently turned a blind eye to reinvesting in the faltering but normally profitable Eurostar channel operations finance needs, which would have to be our Euro gateway for this enterprise.
( We got HS2 out of london & screwed the North over ...well, I saw that happening, should have started in the North & gone South rather than start in the South & everything went south!
Wonder what the HS2 material shortage has on housing for the next few years? (see desp for insight) ..how would the same thing all over Europe pan out?
Will it start in places like Poland first (unofficial sweetener) ? ..how will they tackle it as a low carbon build to send it in the right direction do you think!?
Will it all be enforced as 100% electrified rolling stock & routes? or hybrid, do you think?